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Dollar-cost averaging

Lump sum or steady stream?

DCA means investing the same amount on a regular schedule. The calculator simulates yearly market swings around your chosen average return, so you can see how the two approaches compare in a wobbly world.

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Volatility is how much returns swing year to year. The S&P 500 has historically averaged around 15–20% standard deviation. Educational simulation only.

If you'd had a lump sum upfront
$1,143,431
$120,000 invested at year 0
Dollar-cost averaging
$331,624
$500/month over 20 years
Simulated yearly returns
Year 1Year 20

Lump sum tends to win when markets rise consistently. DCA tends to shine in choppy or falling markets, and almost always wins psychologically — because most people don't have a lump sum, they have a paycheck.

A few notes

The simulation is deterministic — same inputs produce the same numbers — so you can compare scenarios without chasing randomness. In reality, sequence matters: a bad first decade with DCA can produce better long-run results than a great first decade with a lump sum.

The honest framing: most people don't have a lump sum. They have a paycheck. DCA is what happens automatically when you contribute to a 401(k) every two weeks. That's its real power — discipline, not math.

Read the lesson: Dollar-cost averaging — the lazy way that often works.