The market. Or close to it.
An index of the 500 largest US public companies, weighted by market capitalization. Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, and the other megacaps drive most of the daily movement because their market caps are largest. When people say the market was up 1% today, they almost always mean the S&P 500.
Corporate earnings, Fed policy, the 10-year Treasury yield, and major economic releases (CPI, jobs report, GDP). About 30% of the index is in the top 10 stocks, so megacap tech results move the whole index disproportionately.
$10,000 not invested in the S&P 500 in 1995 missed roughly $170,000 in growth at the index's historical 10% annualized return through today. The cash version: $10,000 in a 1% savings account over the same period grew to about $13,500. The gap between investing and not is the cost of staying in cash for 30 years.